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The Rational Optimist: How Prosperity Evolves (P.s.) Paperback – Illustrated, June 7, 2011
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“A delightful and fascinating book filled with insight and wit, which will make you think twice and cheer up.” — Steven Pinker
In a bold and provocative interpretation of economic history, Matt Ridley, the New York Times-bestselling author of Genome and The Red Queen, makes the case for an economics of hope, arguing that the benefits of commerce, technology, innovation, and change—what Ridley calls cultural evolution—will inevitably increase human prosperity. Fans of the works of Jared Diamond (Guns, Germs, and Steel), Niall Ferguson (The Ascent of Money), and Thomas Friedman (The World Is Flat) will find much to ponder and enjoy in The Rational Optimist.
For two hundred years the pessimists have dominated public discourse, insisting that things will soon be getting much worse. But in fact, life is getting better—and at an accelerating rate. Food availability, income, and life span are up; disease, child mortality, and violence are down all across the globe. Africa is following Asia out of poverty; the Internet, the mobile phone, and container shipping are enriching people's lives as never before.
An astute, refreshing, and revelatory work that covers the entire sweep of human history—from the Stone Age to the Internet—The Rational Optimist will change your way of thinking about the world for the better.
- Print length480 pages
- LanguageEnglish
- Publication dateJune 7, 2011
- Dimensions5.31 x 1.08 x 8 inches
- ISBN-100061452068
- ISBN-13978-0061452062
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Editorial Reviews
Review
“The chapters tracing the human story from 50,000 years ago through the seventeenth century are themselves worth the price of admission, with vivid storytelling illuminating the huge role of markets and trade in material progress…Read The Rational Optimist for its fascinating history of trade and economics.” — New York Times Book Review
“A superb book…Elegant, learned, and cogent…a far-reaching synthesis of economics and ecology, a triumphant new demarche in the understanding of wealth and poverty…Inspiring.” — George Gilder, National Review
“A very good book…a rich analysis…Ridley is a cogent and erudite social critic…He bolsters his argument with an impressive tour of evolutionary biology, economics, philosophy, world history.” — Washington Post
“A fast-moving, intelligent description of why human life has so consistently improved over the course of history, and a wonderful overview of how human civilizations move forward.” — John Tierney, New York Times
“Chock-full of in-your-face challenges to conventional wisdom…Ridley is a sworn enemy of Cassandras and Chicken Littles. In The Rational Optimist, he covers 200,000 years of human history to make a compelling case that over the millennia poverty declined, disease retreated, violence atrophied, freedom grew and happiness increased.” — The Oregonian (Portland)
“A delightful and fascinating book filled with insight and wit, which will make you think twice and cheer up.” — Steven Pinker
“The Rational Optimist teems with challenging and original ideas…No other book has argued with such brilliance and historical breadth against the automatic pessimism that prevails in intellectual life.” — Ian McEwan
“Ridley eloquently weaves together economics, archeology, history, and evolutionary theory…His words effortlessly turn complicated economic and scientific concepts into entertaining, digestible nuggets.” — Barrett Sheridan, Newsweek
“Invigorating…For Mr. Ridley, the market for ideas needs to be as open as possible in order to breed ingenuity from collaboration.” — Trevor Butterworth, Wall Street Journal
“The Rational Optimist will give a reader solid reasons for believing that the human species will overcome its economic, political and environmental woes during this century.” — Fort Worth Star-Telegram
“This inspiring book, a glorious defense of our species…is a devastating rebuke to humanity’s self-haters.” — Sunday Times (London)
“Original, clever and …controversial” — The Guardian
“A dose of just the kind of glass-half-full information we need right now…A powerful antidote to gloom-n-doom-mongering.” — Washington Examiner
“A mesmerizing book.” — Los Angeles Times
“Dr. Ridley provides a grand unified theory of history from the Stone Age to the better age awaiting us in 2010. It’s an audacious task, but he has the intellectual breadth for it.” — New York Times
“Ridley’s dazzling, insightful and entertaining book on the unstoppable march of innovation is a refresher course in human history...Great ideas spring up unexpectedly from every direction, with each new one naturally coordinating with others...” — New York Post
“Without sounding like a cockeyed optimist, The Rational Optimist will give a reader solid reasons for believing that the human species will overcome its economic, political and environmental woes during this century.” — Fort Worth Star-Telegram
A fabulous new book... I was so delighted, amused and uplifted by it that I bought a couple hundred copies and sent one to all my clients. — Donald Luskin, Smart Money
From the Back Cover
For two hundred years the pessimists have dominated public discourse, insisting that things will soon be getting much worse. But in fact, life is getting better—and at an accelerating rate. Food availability, income, and life span are up; disease, child mortality, and violence are down all across the globe. Africa is following Asia out of poverty; the Internet, the mobile phone, and container shipping are enriching people's lives as never before.
In his bold and bracing exploration into how human culture evolves positively through exchange and specialization, bestselling author Matt Ridley does more than describe how things are getting better. He explains why. An astute, refreshing, and revelatory work that covers the entire sweep of human history—from the Stone Age to the Internet—The Rational Optimist will change your way of thinking about the world for the better.
About the Author
Matt Ridley's books—including The Red Queen, Genome, The Rational Optimist, The Evolution of Everything, How Innovation Works, and most recently, Viral: the Search for the Origin of Covid-19 (with Alina Chan)—have sold over a million copies, been translated into 31 languages, and won several awards. He sat in the House of Lords from 2013 and 2021, and was founding chairman of the International Centre for Life in Newcastle. He created the “Mind and Matter” column in the Wall Street Journal in 2010, and was a columnist for the Times. He is a fellow of the Royal Society of Literature and of the Academy of Medical Sciences, and a foreign honorary member of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences. He lives in Northumberland.
Product details
- Publisher : Harper Perennial; Reprint edition (June 7, 2011)
- Language : English
- Paperback : 480 pages
- ISBN-10 : 0061452068
- ISBN-13 : 978-0061452062
- Item Weight : 12.5 ounces
- Dimensions : 5.31 x 1.08 x 8 inches
- Best Sellers Rank: #21,722 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)
- Customer Reviews:
About the author
Matt Ridley's books have been shortlisted for six literary awards, including the Los Angeles Times Book Prize (for Genome: The Autobiography of a Species in 23 Chapters). His most recent book, The Agile Gene: How Nature Turns on Nurture, won the award for the best science book published in 2003 from the National Academies of Science. He has been a scientist, a journalist, and a national newspaper columnist, and is the chairman of the International Centre for Life, in Newcastle, England. Matt Ridley is also a visiting professor at Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory in New York.
Customer reviews
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Learn more how customers reviews work on AmazonCustomers say
Customers find the book interesting, fun, and worth reading. They say it provides a solid presentation of theory and fact, and gives plenty of food for thought. Readers describe the tone of optimism as addictive and extremely positive. They praise the writing quality as cogent, terse, and intelligible. Opinions are mixed on the pacing, with some finding it wonderful and grand in conception, while others say it gets repetitive and boring at times.
AI-generated from the text of customer reviews
Customers find the book interesting, fun to read, and well worth the time. They say the premise is well articulated and the book is uplifting. Readers also mention the book stimulates novelty and is filled with historical insights into human psychological and social evolution.
"...Exchange is to technology as sex is to evolution. It stimulates novelty." Another key thing that exchange and trade allow is specialization...." Read more
"...It's also filled with historical insights into human psychological and social evolution from prehistory through the present day...." Read more
"...I think this is an excellent book but I dont think that it is equally argued...." Read more
"The Rational Optimist is an inspired polemic, grand in conception and sweeping in its historical depth...." Read more
Customers find the book provides a solid presentation of theory and facts. They say it gives them plenty of food for thought, is intelligent, and well-researched. Readers also mention the book contains a wealth of positive observations from food production, climate change, and poverty.
"...Self-sufficiency sounds good in theory (and in practice if you are in a basic survival situation), but when it comes to growth, prosperity, and..." Read more
"...A delightful and fascinating book, filled with insight and wit, which will make you think twice and cheer up."..." Read more
"...is to be expected given he has a thesis he is arguing, this is a well argued book with a very solid depth of knowledge that is shared with the reader." Read more
"...Human beings are not only wealthier, but healthier, happier, cleaner, cleverer, kinder, freer, more peaceful and more equal than they have ever been...." Read more
Customers find the book uplifting, encouraging, and addictive. They say it brings incredible views of hope and is rational. Readers also mention the spirit of the book rings true.
"...The spirit of this book rings true, when we are provided with the right incentives, our collective intelligence can come up with remarkable..." Read more
"...Human beings are not only wealthier, but healthier, happier, cleaner, cleverer, kinder, freer, more peaceful and more equal than they have ever been...." Read more
"...A fascinating, consciousness-raising book that my wife and I are reading out loud to each other, five pages or so at a time." Read more
"The main message of the book is that the world is getting better. We humans keep finding amazing ways to solve great challenges...." Read more
Customers find the writing quality of the book cogent, terse, and intelligible. They also appreciate the good humor and wit. Readers mention the book is brimming with ideas and never gets bogged down.
"...Ridley is a fine writer. His prose is cogent, terse and intelligible. He does not get lost in vapid speculation or idle digression...." Read more
"...He knows how to come up with a unique point of view, write engaging prose, pose a challenging and often contrarian premise, build up reasonable..." Read more
"...It never got bogged down and was hard to put down...." Read more
"...His books, and this one in particular, are brimming with wit, insight, and ideas which will make you appreciate facts about the world/human nature..." Read more
Customers have mixed opinions about the pacing of the book. Some mention it's wonderfully presented, brilliant, and crisp. Others say it gets boring at times and seems redundant in the beginning.
"The Rational Optimist is an inspired polemic, grand in conception and sweeping in its historical depth...." Read more
"...makes many very interesting arguments and at the same time compiles many beautiful quotes from other, maybe more distinguished, authors like Romer..." Read more
"...are (1) the method used by Ridley to support his arguments is endless repetition, which makes some of the chapters of the book really boring...." Read more
"Very nice" Read more
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Ridley's book "The Rational Optimist: How Prosperity Evolves" is quite a bit more serious than that first paragraph makes it sound, but it does describe a key point. He says, "Without trade, innovation just does not happen. Exchange is to technology as sex is to evolution. It stimulates novelty." Another key thing that exchange and trade allow is specialization. Self-sufficiency sounds good in theory (and in practice if you are in a basic survival situation), but when it comes to growth, prosperity, and happiness (all closely linked), specialization means more of everything for everybody. If multiple people in a community have different skills and products, and if exchange is allowed, everyone has the potential to benefit from the knowledge and output of everyone else. Ideas are especially valuable in part because sharing an idea is like lighting a candle for someone else - now you both have a lighted candle (or an idea of how to do something better). When knowledge is shared in a community, it becomes something like a "collective brain." And when the community expands to include the entire world, interconnected by vast transportation networks and with the Internet as its central nervous system, you can have the wild orgy of exchange of ideas, goods, and services that we call the modern world.
Ridley spends most of the book in a chronological journey through the development of civilization, from the first inklings of exchange and specialization some 200,000 years ago (when we really diverged from other species including our close cousins the apes), through expanded barter systems, to the development of agriculture some 10,000 years ago. Of course climate stability had a lot to do with that as well, but an interesting point is that trade is what really made agriculture interesting and worthwhile. There was also the development of energy sources, from human power (including slavery, unfortunately), to animal power, to various forms of "current solar" energy (water power, wind power, burning wood, etc.), to various forms of "stored solar" (coal, oil, natural gas). There are more steps, but it's clear that the modern world is based to a great extent on exchange and specialization, including free trade and the free exchange of ideas. These have in turn produced a wide range of innovations in social systems and technology and led to the astounding prosperity that most (but of course not all) people in the world enjoy today. Ridley points out that while Louis XIV used some 498 servants to prepare his meals, a modern person of average means has many more people working for him or her (mostly indirectly and on a shared basis) to make easily available food, clothing, medicines, transportation, entertainment, and everything else that we take for granted in modern life. In this sense the average person today is richer than a king in the seventeenth century.
But if things are so great and getting better all the time, why are so many people so pessimistic about the present and the future? Ridley doesn't have a good explanation for this, though he knows he's fighting from a minority position (optimists must be naive!), and he shows that it has always been so. People were fretting over "peak coal" in 1830, and convinced that things had improved so much in the previous half century that there could be no place to go but down. But of course the rest of the nineteenth century was in fact a golden age of technological and social development. Things like slavery and child labor declined not so much because people became nicer, but because energy sources and manufacturing methods made them less necessary (or you could say affordable).
The Rational Optimist is not really an ideological work. While there is a strong sense that Ridley believes that markets generally work better than governments (especially corrupt governments like many in Africa), he's not saying that governments are not necessary. He's certainly a strong proponent for free trade and individual rights, which are strongly correlated with a sense of well-being or "happiness." He also believes that things will continue to get better, even for Africa, as long as we keep moving forward in terms of trade and openness. Although anything can happen including terrorism, crazy governments, natural disasters, etc., his optimism is based on considerations of history and of how things really work, not on wishful thinking or on some belief that prosperity is humanity's right or destiny. It's more or less what we do.
I personally tend toward optimism myself, and this book has given me a lot to think about including many reasons for optimism that I hadn't thought about before. I highly recommend this book.
" A delightful and fascinating book, filled with insight and wit, which will make you think twice and cheer up."
It's also filled with historical insights into human psychological and social evolution from prehistory through the present day.
This book is in fact the latest in a long line of lonely books explaining why spontaneous order (unconscious and unplanned) works so amazingly well, and bravely speaking out against the dominant pessimism that always reigns. Ridley cites these authors liberally: Adam Smith, Charles Darwin, Friedrich Hayek, Julian Simon, Bjorn Lomberg. Since all these men are heroes of mine, I needed little convincing. I am already a committed optimist.
But a part of me is deeply pessimistic. That's because as always, the dominant view of the elites and the media everywhere is global pessimism. Political "leaders" everywhere believe the opposite of what this book teaches. And they mostly push for well intended but misguided policies that will guarantee that bad outcomes occur. John Holdren, Obama's chief science advisor, will not read this book, but he believes passionately the exact opposite of everything it explains.
Matt Ridley understands all this, and his frustration with counterproductive policies (like Biofuels) is clearly stated. But the question is "Why are humans so intent on pessimism?" As someone fairly expert in evolutionary psychology, I was hoping Ridley would shed some light on this. A related question is "Why do humans prefer top down hierarchies to spontaneous order."
My own hypothesis goes something like this:
For hundreds of thousands of years, (and before trading occurred) our prehistoric ancestors evolved in small tribal bands, in desperate scarcity, and in constant total war with other tribes, deadly animals, and a harsh environment. In such a situation, a tribal band must operate with the discipline of a combat army. Survival was completely dependent on rigid conformity, obedience to authority, and the assumption that everything that moves is a potential threat motivated by conscious intent.
Only in the last few hundred years have some civilizations allowed the spontaneous order of billions of individual decisions to generate far greater benefit than top down systems do. But our primitive past is so deeply imbedded in our mental genes, that most people still believe in gods, "great" leaders and/or socialism.
My only other quibble with Ridley concerns his bias for markets but against financial markets which he sees as corrupt or exploitative. He is correct to see a difference, but he needs to read more Hayek to understand why. The answer is that financial markets are built on anti market foundations: fiat money printed by governments to serve political ends and price fixing of interest rates by central banks which loan money to banks at favored rates not given to others. This leads to markets distortions, mispriced risk, malinvestment, fraud and periodic bubbles.
Top reviews from other countries
In terms of writing, the book has a hell lots of data and information. Worth a buy!
Reviewed in Spain on December 4, 2023
Ridley n’a pas de mots trop durs contre les pessimistes tels que Paul Ehrlich, qui ne cessent de prédire le malheur et la morosité et ne reviennent jamais sur leurs propos lorsque leurs prédictions alarmistes ne se matérialisent pas. Selon lui, les pessimistes basent leurs projections sur des tendance à court terme dont ils font des projections linéaires, sans tenir compte des évolutions et ruptures dues à l'innovation humaine. Le livre regorge de données historiques chiffrées, de faits et d'anecdotes pertinentes. Quelques exemples :
- Actuellement, le Sud-Coréen moyen vit 26 ans de plus et gagne 15 fois son salaire de 1955.
- L’achat d’une Ford modèle T en 1908 coûtait à 4’700 heures de travail; de nos jours, une voiture bien plus luxueuse peut être achetée pour 1’000 heures de travail.
- Aux États-Unis, en 1915, un tiers des terres agricoles était utilisé pour nourrir 21 millions de chevaux, occupés à divers travaux, en ville et à la campagne; le progrès technique (tracteurs, engrais) a libéré ces terres pour une utilisation plus efficace.
- En Chine, après 50 ans d’une politique de l’enfant unique extrêmement contraignante, le taux de natalité est passé de 5,59 à 1,73 enfants par femme. Durant la même période, avec une politique libérale de développement, le Sri Lanka, grâce à une amélioration du bien-être matériel de sa population, est parvenu à un résultat quasi identique (passant de 5,70 à 1,88 enfants par femme) sans mesure autoritaire du gouvernement.
Riche de nombreuses informations et basés sur des faits avérés, ce livre se lit très facilement, on reconnaît le journaliste à l'aise dans la compilation et dans la communication. Vous l’aurez peut-être deviné, Matt Ridley est libertarien et… favorable au Brexit. ^^
Le prologue de The Rational Optimist, "When Ideas Have Sex", est devenu une conférence TED de 16 minutes, disponible sur YouTube. Ridley y donne un petit cours d’économie plein d’humour dans lequel il cite avec à propos les deux pères de l’économie classique, Adam Smith et David Ricardo.
Et pour finir, la citation de La Richesse des Nations, de Adam Smith, en exergue du livre :
"The division of labour, from which so many advantages are derived, is not originally the effect of any human wisdom, which foresees and intends that general opulence to which it gives occasion. It is the necessary, though very slow and gradual consequence of a certain propensity in human nature which has in view no such extensive utility; the propensity to truck, barter, and exchange one thing for another.
Whether this propensity be one of those original principles in human nature of which no further account can be given; or whether, as seems more probable, it be the necessary consequence of the faculties of reason and speech, it belongs not to our present subject to inquire. It is common to all men, and to be found in no other race of animals, which seem to know neither this nor any other species of contracts."