2020 Tuscan regional election
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All 41 seats in the Regional Council | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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Turnout | 62.6% ( | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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The 2020 Tuscan regional election was the 7th regional election held in Tuscany, Italy, and took place on 20 and 21 September 2020. It was originally scheduled to take place on 31 May 2020, but it was delayed due to the coronavirus pandemic in Italy.[2][3] The Democratic candidate, Eugenio Giani, defeated the League candidate, Susanna Ceccardi. Giani took office as President of Tuscany on October 8, 2020.
Electoral system
[edit]Tuscany uses its own legislation of 2014 to elect its Regional Council. The councillors are elected in provincial constituencies by proportional representation using the D'Hondt method. The constituency of Florence is further divided into 4 sub-constituencies. Preferential voting is allowed: a maximum of two preferences can be expressed for candidates of the same party list and provided the two chosen candidates are of different gender.
In this system, parties are grouped in alliances supporting a candidate for the post of President of Tuscany. The candidate receiving at least 40% of the votes is elected to the post and his/her list (or the coalition) is awarded a majority of 23 seats in the Regional Council plus the seat of the President (24+1 seats with more than 45% of the vote). If no candidate gets more than 40% of the votes, a run-off is held fourteen days later, where the two top candidates from the first round run against each other. The winning candidate is then ensured a majority in the Regional Council.[4]
Council apportionment
[edit]According to the official 2011 Italian census, the 40 Council seats which must be covered by proportional representation are so distributed between Tuscan provinces. The number of seats to be assigned in each province is the following:
AR | FI | GR | LI | LU | MS | PI | PT | PO | SI |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
The Province of Florence is further divided into smaller electoral colleges.
Parties and candidates
[edit]Political party or alliance | Constituent lists | Previous result | Candidate | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Votes (%) | Seats | |||||
Centre-left coalition | Democratic Party (PD) (incl. DemoS) | 45.9 | 24 | Eugenio Giani | ||
Italia Viva – More Europe (IV – +E) | — | — | ||||
Civic Ecologist Left (incl. Art.1) | — | — | ||||
Proud Tuscany for Giani (incl. PSI, PRI, CD and IdV) | — | — | ||||
Green Europe (EV) | — | — | ||||
Svolta! (IiC – Volt – Tuscany in the Heart) | — | — | ||||
Centre-right coalition | League (Lega) | 16.0 | 4 | Susanna Ceccardi | ||
Forza Italia (FI) | 8.4 | 1 | ||||
Brothers of Italy (FdI) | 3.8 | 1 | ||||
Civic Tuscany (incl. C! and FN[5]) | — | — | ||||
Five Star Movement (M5S) | 15.0 | 4 | Irene Galletti | |||
Tuscany to the Left (incl. SI, PRC, PaP, SA, èViva) | 6.3 | 1 | Tommaso Fattori | |||
Communist Party (PC) | — | — | Salvatore Catello | |||
Italian Communist Party (PCI) | — | — | Marco Barzanti | |||
3V Movement (M3V) | — | — | Tiziana Vigni
|
Opinion polls
[edit]Candidates
[edit]Date | Polling firm/ Client |
Sample size | Giani | Ceccardi | Galletti | Fattori | Catello | Others | Undecided | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 Sep 2020 | Lab2101 | – | 41.7 | 43.1 | 8.4 | — | — | 6.8 | — | 1.4 |
28 Aug–3 Sep 2020 | Quorum | 2,000 | 42.0 | 38.0 | 8.0 | 6.0 | — | 6.0 | — | 4.0 |
29 Aug–2 Sep 2020 | SWG | 1,100 | 44.0 | 42.0 | 8.5 | 3.0 | — | 2.5 | — | 2.0 |
28 Aug–2 Sep 2020 | Demetra[a] | 500 | 43.0 | 33.0 | 11.0 | 10.0 | — | 3.0 | — | 10.0 |
27–29 Aug 2020 | EMG | 1,000 | 44.0 | 41.5 | 8.0 | — | — | 5.5 | — | 2.5 |
27–28 Aug 2020 | Scenari Politici–Winpoll | 1,000 | 43.0 | 42.5 | 8.3 | — | — | 6.2 | — | 0.5 |
25 Aug 2020 | Tecnè | 2,000 | 43–47 | 39–43 | 5–9 | — | — | 5–9 | — | 0–8 |
24 Aug–2 Sep 2020 | Noto | — | 42–46 | 39–43 | 7–11 | — | — | 4–8 | — | -1–7 |
30 Jun 2020 | EMG | — | 46.5 | 40.5 | 8.0 | — | — | 5.0 | — | 6.0 |
29–30 Jun 2020 | Tecnè | 1,000 | 46.0 | 40.5 | 8.0 | — | — | 5.5 | 17.6 | 5.5 |
28 Jun 2020 | Demopolis | — | 45.0 | 42.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | — | 2.0 | 25.0 | 3.0 |
26 Jun 2020 | Noto[a] | 1,000 | 46.0 | 40.0 | 8.0 | — | — | 6.0 | — | 6.0 |
29–31 May 2020 | Noto[a] | 1,000 | 44.0 | 40.0 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 24.0 | 4.0 |
18–19 Feb 2020 | EMG | 1,000 | 50.0 | 40.0 | 5.5 | — | 3.0 | 1.5 | — | 10.0 |
Hypothetical candidates
[edit]Date | Polling firm/ Client |
Sample size | Giani | Ceccardi | Other CDX | Galletti | Others | Undecided | Lead |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
19–23 Dec 2019 | EMG | – | 48.0 | — | 40.5[b] | 8.5 | 3.0 | — | 7.5 |
48.0 | 40.0 | — | 9.0 | 3.0 | — | 8.0 | |||
48.0 | — | 39.5[c] | 9.0 | 3.0 | — | 8.5 | |||
28 Nov–5 Dec 2019 | SWG | 1,000 | 44.0 | 44.0 | — | 7.0 | 5.0 | 17.0 | Tie |
46.0 | 46.0 | — | w. CSX | 8.0 | 20.0 | Tie |
Parties
[edit]Date | Polling firm | Sample size | Centre-left | Centre-right | M5S | Others | Undecided | Lead | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PD | IV | LS | Other | Lega | FI | FdI | Other | |||||||
29 Aug–2 Sep 2020 | SWG | 2,000 | 33.5 | 4.0 | — | 5.0 | 28.0 | 5.5 | 9.0 | 0.5 | 9.0 | 5.5 | — | 5.5 |
28 Aug–3 Sep 2020 | Quorum | 2,000 | 31.9 | 5.8 | — | 6.6 | 23.2 | 3.8 | 10.8 | 1.8 | 8.5 | 7.6 | — | 7.7 |
27–29 Aug 2020 | EMG | 1,000 | 31.0 | 7.5 | — | 5.5 | 24.5 | 5.0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 5.5 | — | 6.5 |
27–28 Aug 2020 | Scenari Politici–Winpoll | 1,000 | 22.6 | 5.7 | 7.6 | 5.7 | 24.1 | 5.4 | 11.8 | 2.5 | 8.3 | 6.3 | — | 1.5 |
24–29 Jun 2020 | EMG[a] | 2,000 | 31.5 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 25.0 | 4.0 | 11.0 | 1.5 | 8.0 | 5.0 | — | 6.5 |
29–31 May 2020 | Noto[a] | 1,000 | 33.0 | 6.0 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 24.0 | 4.0 | 11.5 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 7.5 | 26.0 | 9.0 |
18–19 Feb 2020 | EMG | 1,000 | 32.0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 27.0 | 3.0 | 11.0 | – | 6.0 | 5.0 | — | 5.0 | |
29 Dec 2019 | EMG | – | 30.0 | 7.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 27.0 | 6.0 | 8.0 | – | 10.0 | 12.0 | — | 3.0 |
28 Nov–5 Dec 2019 | SWG | 1,000 | 29.0 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 5.5 | 34.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 8.0 | 3.5 | 18.0 | 5.0 |
12–18 Jul 2018 | Ipsos | 800 | 28.5 | — | 3.9 | 2.3 | 29.5 | 8.4 | 4.0 | 0.2 | 21.0 | 2.2 | — | 1.0 |
- ^ a b c d e This poll was commissioned by a political party.
- ^ Antonfrancesco Vivarelli Colonna (Independent)
- ^ Giovanni Donzelli (FdI)
Results
[edit]Candidates | Votes | % | Seats | Parties | Votes | % | Seats | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Eugenio Giani | 864,310 | 48.62 | 1 | Democratic Party | 563,116 | 34.69 | 22 | ||
Italia Viva – More Europe | 72,649 | 4.48 | 2 | ||||||
Civic Ecologist Left | 48,410 | 2.98 | – | ||||||
Proud Tuscany for Giani | 47,778 | 2.94 | – | ||||||
Green Europe | 26,924 | 1.66 | – | ||||||
Svolta! | 5,246 | 0.32 | – | ||||||
Total | 764,123 | 47.08 | 24 | ||||||
Susanna Ceccardi | 719,266 | 40.46 | 2 | League | 353,514 | 21.78 | 7 | ||
Brothers of Italy | 219,165 | 13.50 | 4 | ||||||
Forza Italia – UDC | 69,456 | 4.28 | 1 | ||||||
Civic Tuscany for Change | 16,923 | 1.04 | – | ||||||
Total | 659,058 | 40.60 | 12 | ||||||
Irene Galletti | 113,796 | 6.40 | 1 | Five Star Movement | 113,836 | 7.01 | 1 | ||
Tommaso Fattori | 39,684 | 2.23 | – | Tuscany to the Left | 46,514 | 2.87 | – | ||
Salvatore Catello | 17,007 | 0.96 | – | Communist Party | 17,032 | 1.05 | – | ||
Marco Barzanti | 16,078 | 0.90 | – | Italian Communist Party | 15,617 | 0.96 | – | ||
Tiziana Vigni | 7,668 | 0.43 | – | 3V Movement | 6,974 | 0.43 | – | ||
Total candidates | 1,777,809 | 100.00 | 4 | Total parties | 1,623,154 | 100.00 | 37 | ||
Source: Tuscany Region – Electoral Services |
Results by province and capital city
[edit]
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Turnout
[edit]Region | Time | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
20 Sep | 21 Sep | |||
12:00 | 19:00 | 23:00 | 15:00 | |
Tuscany | 14.60% | 36.29% | 45.89% | 62.60% |
Province | Time | |||
20 Sep | 21 Sep | |||
12:00 | 19:00 | 23:00 | 15:00 | |
Arezzo | 13.63% | 35.60% | 45.50% | 64.60% |
Florence | 16.60% | 39.74% | 49.96% | 66.47% |
Grosseto | 14.41% | 33.68% | 41.87% | 60.87% |
Livorno | 14.59% | 32.87% | 40.95% | 57.33% |
Lucca | 12.39% | 32.97% | 41.34% | 56.64% |
Massa and Carrara | 12.22% | 30.98% | 39.33% | 54.91% |
Pisa | 15.27% | 37.77% | 48.65% | 65.57% |
Pistoia | 13.90% | 35.77% | 45.75% | 61.66% |
Prato | 15.61% | 39.69% | 49.79% | 64.79% |
Siena | 13.98% | 36.22% | 46.53% | 64.84% |
Source: Tuscany Region – Turnout |
See also
[edit]References
[edit]- ^ The swing comes from the combined result of LN–FdI (20.0%), Forza Italia (9.1%) and UdC (1.3%) in the 2015 regional election.
- ^ "Il governo ha rinviato le elezioni regionali e comunali". Il Post (in Italian). 20 April 2020. Retrieved 25 April 2020.
- ^ Elezioni Regionali, il 31 Maggio si vota in Toscana, Veneto, Campania, Puglia, Liguria e Marche
- ^ "Articolo » Raccolta Normativa Regione Toscana". Raccoltanormativa.consiglio.regione.toscana.it. Retrieved 2016-04-02.
- ^ Elezioni regionali Toscana, il Pd: “Candidato di Forza Nuova a Siena nella lista per Ceccardi”